Market Commentary from Infinity

What’s Behind Trading Halts and Circuit Breakers?

Friday, October 24th, 2008

If the Dow Jones Industrial Average falls 10%, trading is halted on the New York Stock Exchange for 60 minutes.  If the Dow Jones rallies 10%, there is no restriction.  Why?  Because program buying and the accompany rally is always perceived as “good”.  
If the Dow Jones Industrial Average falls 20%, trading is halted on the [...]

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Moving Beyond the Panic to Pain

Thursday, October 16th, 2008

Recession as a reality.  Six months ago every financial pundit and professional investor, including ourselves, stated economic growth would flatten out and a painful recession would be avoided.  That was then and this is now.  The research we follow indicates it will be 2-3 times as deep and 2-4 times as long in duration.  This is [...]

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End of the Finance Based Economy

Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

A fundamental long-term shift in the US economy has occurred. The finance based economy is coming to a conclusion, creating two possible scenarios: stagflation or deflation. At best we are looking at stagnate wage increases and higher prices. This is the lessor of two evils. The worst is outright deflation, which is an extreme deviation [...]

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The Evolution of the Price to Earnings Ratio.

Wednesday, May 28th, 2008

The single most effective way to value a stock, according to Benjamin Graham and David Dodd in the classic 1934 Edition “Security Analysis,” is the P/E ratio of a stock. As with all opportunists, reworking standard analytical procedures can uncover value. Lets take the evolution of the P/E ratio. Their are two main earnings numbers [...]

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The Spin of Green

Sunday, April 27th, 2008

Multi-national corporations may seem like the last place to find a socially conscientious investment, however you may be surprised. Multi-Nationals are getting in front of environmental regulations and gaining green status as a way to maintain their lead in global market dominance. Some of the environamental leaders may surprise you, General Electric, Dupont, Alcoa, Pacific [...]

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Repackaged and Reinvented Debt ala the CDO!

Thursday, March 13th, 2008

The subprime crisis, essentially, an investment banking contraption. But what is it? It started with investment banks purchasing subprime mortgages, bundling and securitizing them. Then they were cut into tranches, sold, and repackaged several times (often into collateralized debt obligations). It was happening so fast the ratings companies couldn’t keep up with the number of [...]

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Employment of Family Members as a Means of Wealth Transfer

Tuesday, December 18th, 2007

One method of wealth transfer involves the employment of a family member (normally a child) in the family business. This allows a portion of the business profits to be paid to the employed family member as salary or wages, which are, in turn, deductible as a business expense by the owner. This has the effect [...]

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Economic & Stock Market Outlook: Things Aren’t As Bad As They’re Made Out to Be

Saturday, December 15th, 2007

If you’re like most people, when you turn on the television or read the newspapers, you’re reading news about the troubles the credit markets and housing markets are experiencing. You’re hearing the names of large financial institutions such as Citigroup and Countrywide; it’s making you a little squeamish about the outlook on the economy. At [...]

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